Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.049992 0.058802 0.068651 0.080470 0.094261 0.109841 0.128773
2025-07-20 0.036661 0.048151 0.062411 0.081377 0.105912 0.136556 0.177717
2025-07-27 0.028846 0.041270 0.057982 0.082041 0.115719 0.161124 0.226930
2025-08-03 0.023879 0.036668 0.055057 0.083308 0.125498 0.186037 0.279376
2025-08-10 0.020654 0.033720 0.053618 0.085951 0.136992 0.214247 0.339815
2025-08-17 0.016988 0.029327 0.049127 0.082980 0.139170 0.228410 0.380513
2025-08-24 0.014641 0.026592 0.046701 0.082704 0.145235 0.248943 0.433420
2025-08-31 0.012609 0.024014 0.044070 0.081551 0.149446 0.266656 0.483538
2025-09-07 0.011366 0.022617 0.043228 0.083298 0.158746 0.293882 0.553137
2025-09-14 0.009982 0.020716 0.041165 0.082453 0.163116 0.312745 0.609843
2025-09-21 0.008669 0.018736 0.038646 0.080327 0.164685 0.326491 0.658460
2025-09-28 0.007517 0.016889 0.036109 0.077769 0.164983 0.337702 0.703315
2025-10-05 0.006899 0.016098 0.035635 0.079429 0.174156 0.367627 0.789683
2025-10-12 0.006251 0.015139 0.034676 0.079939 0.181026 0.393803 0.871820
2025-10-19 0.005688 0.014282 0.033809 0.080513 0.188079 0.421147 0.959733
2025-10-26 0.005239 0.013618 0.033272 0.081741 0.196714 0.452829 1.060838
2025-11-02 0.004924 0.013232 0.033322 0.084332 0.208781 0.493402 1.186605
2025-11-09 0.004321 0.012013 0.031206 0.081414 0.207478 0.503652 1.244070
2025-11-16 0.003934 0.011297 0.030221 0.081144 0.212523 0.529119 1.340317
2025-11-23 0.003549 0.010520 0.028969 0.080012 0.215261 0.549393 1.426407
2025-11-30 0.003334 0.010184 0.028814 0.081727 0.225480 0.588995 1.564897
2025-12-07 0.003033 0.009549 0.027769 0.080897 0.228915 0.612089 1.664331
2025-12-14 0.002716 0.008814 0.026342 0.078810 0.228693 0.625822 1.741153